The Mexican economy will close 2025 without having fallen into recession, although with virtually no growth. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have registered an advance of just 0.3% for the year, reflecting an environment marked by internal and external uncertainty, as well as a restrictive fiscal policy.
Of interest: Corporate leasing in Mexico City grows 10% compared to October-November 2024
For 2026, the outlook points to a gradual improvement. BX+ estimates that GDP will grow around 1.5%, within a range of 1.2% to 1.8%, driven by the review of the USMCA, which could unlock investment projects linked to industrial integration, and the economic boost associated with the FIFA World Cup.
Check here: Office rental prices in Guadalajara increased 8% year-over-year in November 2025
In short, 2026 is expected to bring a scenario of less tension and greater dynamism than 2025, although with growth still below the historical average of the Mexican economy.
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